Akihide Segami Forecast Department Japan Meteorological Agency

Presentation on theme: "Akihide Segami Forecast Department Japan Meteorological Agency"— Presentation transcript:

1 Akihide Segami Forecast Department Japan Meteorological Agency
Enhancement of Meteorological Information Services through Collaboration with Disaster Prevention Authorities Akihide Segami Forecast Department Japan Meteorological Agency

2 Overview of JMA Meteorological Services
Observations Analysis, Forecast, Application End User Products Warnings Advisories Typhoon Forecast Weather Forecast One Week Forecast Aeronautical Met. Information Marine Met. Information Space Based Observation Computer System for Meteorological Services Numerical Weather Prediction Upper Air Observation Data Collection Information Issuance Collection and Dissemination of Meteorological Data Radar Observation Surface Observation Ocean Observation Issuance of Products at Met. Observatories International Data Exchange

3 Delivery of Meteorological Information
　 JMA 　Citizen 　 Local Authority City Warnings 平成１６年　５月１６日０７時３０分　鹿児島地方気 鹿児島・日置」大雨，洪水警報」雷注意報」 出水・伊佐」大雨，洪水警報」雷注意報」 川薩・姶良」大雨，洪水警報」雷注意報」 甑島」大雨，雷，洪水注意報」 指宿・川辺」大雨，雷，洪水注意報」 （（出水・伊佐、川薩・姶良、鹿児島・日置では、１６ 的に雷を伴い非常に激しい雨の降るおそれがあり Advisories 平成１６年　５月１６日０５時３２分　鹿児島地方 薩摩地方」大雨，雷，洪水注意報」 （（薩摩地方では１６日夕方にかけて所により れがあります。土砂災害、低地の浸水害、 鹿児島・日置　［発表］大雨，洪水注意報　 　特記事項　土砂災害注意　浸水注意 　雨　１６日夕方まで　ピークは１６日昼過ぎ 　　　１時間最大雨量　３０ミリ Met. Info. 大雨に関する鹿児 平成１６年５月１６日 鹿児島地方気象台 （見出し） 　阿久根では０５時 、宮之城町紫尾山 えいます。 Central Authority Weather Forecast Typhoon Forecasts Mass media Marine Met. Info. Aviation Met. Info.

4 Collaboration between Met. Services and Disaster Prevention Authorities
JMA promotes the provision of effective meteorological information services through collaboration with river management authorities, local governments, etc.

5 Example of collaboration
Flood Forecasting Services…River Bureau Sediment Disaster Alert …Sabo Department/Prefecture Weather Bulletin for Fire Prevention … Fire and Disaster Management Agency 　 (FDMA)

6 Flood Forecasting Services
JMA River Bureau Weather forecast Flood Control 天神川 釧路川 留萌川 大和川 緑川 松浦川 山国川 小矢部川 荒川 相模川 久慈川 庄川 梯川 九頭竜川 天塩川 石狩川 常呂川 十勝川 馬淵川 鵡川 北上川 鳴瀬川 名取川 米代川 岩木川 雄物川 子吉川 最上川 赤川 阿賀野川 信濃川 関川 神通川 円山川 由良川 千代川 吉井川 太田川 斐伊川 江の川 芦田川 佐波川 遠賀川 筑後川 嘉瀬川 白川 球磨川 川内川 大淀川 大野川 渡川 肱川 仁淀川 吉野川 那賀川 加古川 淀川 紀の川 阿武隈川 那珂川 利根川 多摩川 富士川 安倍川 鈴鹿川 尻別川 後志利別川 姫川 北川 旭川 高津川 小瀬川 六角川 矢部川 本明川 菊池川 肝属川 重信川 新宮川 高瀬川 沙流川 日野川 小丸川 五ヶ瀬川 土器川 宮川 櫛田川 大井川 常願寺川 黒部川 網走川 番匠川 鶴見川 湧別川 渚滑川 揖保川 雲出川 物部川 高梁川 木曽川 狩野川 大分川 天竜川 矢作川 庄内川 豊川 菊川 手取川 Flood Forecast 193 Rivers with River Bureau of MLIT 29 Rivers with Prefectural Government

7 Sediment Disaster Alert
JMA Prefecture Information Exchange (Forecaster） (Sabo; Erosion and sediment control ） Sediment Disaster Alert Alert on sediment disaster for each city. Expected rainfall intensity Graphical information in addition to plain text warning Joint Issuance Local Authorities (City and others)

8 Sediment Disaster Alert
Experiments to ensure feasibility in eight prefectures in 2004. Operational services start in some prefectures in 2005.

9 Weather Bulletin for Fire Prevention
Humidity Observational Data Weather Bulletin for Fire Prevention Fire Headquarters JMA Fire Alert in a prefecture (example) Trial in three prefectures in 2004. Classification A Classification B Classification C Not particular

10 Future Plan Improvement of Prediction through Data Exchange Joint Technological Development for Advanced Flood Prediction Meteorological Information Exchange for Disaster Prevention

11 Improvement of Prediction through Data Exchange
improvement of forecast accuracy JMA（AMeDAS） With data from 1300 JMA raingauges (AMeDAS) With data from 5200 raingauges including non JMA observations Prefecture data Frequency diagram showing observed (horizontal) vs predicted (vertical) rainfall amount for the case of T The right graph (with data provided from outside of JMA) shows more concentration around the diagonal, indicating enhanced accuracy. MLIT data

12 Joint Technological Development for Advanced Flood Prediction
Estimation of run-off flowing into the river from precipitation analysis and prediction. Estimation of river flow from the river feature, upstream flow, topography, etc.

13 Meteorological Information Exchange for Disaster Prevention
Information Sharing System based on Advanced IT Infrastructure Satellite network FDMA Prefecture Predigested maps and information City Prefectural LAN Disaster prevention information system JMA Zoom up the area of concern 　　 　 　 　 ○○市大雨警報発表中 Data Format for Cell-Phone Services Cell-phone Volunteer fire fighter

14 Conclusion Collaboration with other disaster prevention authorities
Exchange of observational data Improved prediction accuracy Enhancement of Information sharing systems rapid and reliable dissemination of products Combination of meteorological and other expertise Product supporting disaster response more directly Mitigation of Disaster